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TG THERAPEUTICS, INC. (TGTX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered strong top-line growth: total revenue rose 93% YoY to $161.7M and 15% QoQ, driven by U.S. BRIUMVI net sales of $152.9M (+10% QoQ) and ex‑U.S. partner sell‑in of $6.4M .
- Guidance raised again: FY25 BRIUMVI U.S. net revenue to ~$585M (from $570–$575M) and total global revenue to ~$600M (from ~$585M), reflecting sustained demand trends .
- GAAP EPS surged to $2.43 on a non‑recurring ~$365M income tax benefit from releasing the valuation allowance; normalized Primary EPS of ~$0.16 missed S&P Global consensus of ~$0.22, while revenue beat by ~$9.7M (6%) versus consensus of ~$152.0M* .
- Capital returns remain active: TG completed its $100M repurchase (~3.5M shares at ~$28.55) and authorized a new $100M program, signaling confidence in BRIUMVI’s multi‑year growth and pipeline catalysts (ENHANCE and subcutaneous Phase 3) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue outperformance and sustained demand: Total revenue $161.7M beat S&P Global consensus ~$152.0M*, with U.S. BRIUMVI net sales up 10% QoQ to $152.9M .
- Guidance raised again: FY25 BRIUMVI U.S. net revenue to ~$585M and total global revenue to ~$600M, underpinned by stronger‑than‑expected patient persistence and continued new prescriber growth .
- Pipeline execution: Completed enrollment in the randomized ENHANCE Phase 3 cohort (single day‑1 IV consolidation) and commenced the pivotal program for subcutaneous BRIUMVI; management highlighted subQ could nearly double TAM if self‑administered share reaches ~50% of new starts .
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What Went Wrong
- Normalized EPS shortfall vs consensus: S&P Global “Primary EPS” came in at ~0.16 vs ~0.22 consensus*, despite GAAP EPS of $2.43 being inflated by a one‑time tax benefit .
- Higher operating spend: Opex (R&D + SG&A, ex‑non‑cash) increased to ~$86.6M in Q3 (vs ~$71M in Q2) as the company invested in subQ development and commercial expansion/DTC, though full‑year opex guidance of ~$300–$320M was reiterated .
- Gross‑to‑net dynamics to monitor: Mix shift toward hospitals (340B exposure) is a headwind to gross‑to‑net (prior commentary cited ~70–75% for the year with hospital mix keeping Q2 around the low end), implying ongoing vigilance on pricing/mix quality .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS (chronological: oldest → newest)
Revenue composition and KPIs
Margins and profitability
Versus S&P Global consensus (estimates and Primary EPS are S&P Global constructs)
Values with asterisks (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased to see that the third quarter marked another strong period of performance... driving continued BRIUMVI growth... We also successfully completed our initial $100 million share repurchase program and authorized an additional $100 million program...” — Michael S. Weiss, CEO .
- “Based on the strong year‑to‑date performance... we are again raising our full year 2025 US BRIUMVI net revenue guidance... to approximately $585 million...” — Adam Waldman, CCO .
- “Our third‑quarter results include a non‑recurring income tax benefit of approximately $365 million, driven by the release of our deferred tax asset valuation allowance.” — Sean Power, CFO .
- On subQ BRIUMVI: “We view subcutaneous BRIUMVI as a major opportunity that could nearly double the total addressable market...” — Michael S. Weiss .
Q&A Highlights
- Q4 cadence: Management implied ~14% QoQ growth for Q4, driven by patient retention, field expansion, and DTC, acknowledging typical seasonality .
- Field expansion focus: Emphasis on hospital accounts where demand growth outpaced private practice; new reps broadening reach .
- Subcutaneous competitive dynamics: Current at‑home subQ competitor is growing; market roughly 60–65% IV vs 35–40% subQ with potential continued subQ share gains .
- Inventory/GTN: No notable inventory or gross‑to‑net changes in Q3; GTN within guided range (context: hospital mix can pressure GTN) .
- Ex‑U.S. accounting: Partner sell‑in recognized in product revenue; royalties flow through license/milestone/other .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: Revenue beat (actual $161.7M vs $152.0M consensus*) by ~$9.7M, but Primary EPS missed (~0.16 actual vs ~0.22 consensus*). GAAP EPS ($2.43) is not comparable due to a one‑time ~$365M tax benefit .
- Q2 2025: Revenue missed ($141.1M actual vs $146.3M consensus*), Primary EPS missed (~0.17 vs ~0.28*), reflecting investment cadence and mix .
- Q4 2025: Consensus sits at ~$182.4M revenue and ~$0.25 Primary EPS*, with raised FY25 revenue guidance supportive of upward revenue revisions if Q4 executes .
- Target price consensus mean: ~$44.29 (7 estimates)*, indicating supportive Street stance into 2026.
Values with asterisks (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue momentum is intact and broad‑based; sustained patient persistence plus prescriber additions and DTC support FY25 revenue raise — a constructive setup into Q4 seasonality .
- Expect normalization of EPS optics: GAAP EPS inflated by non‑recurring tax; investors should anchor on normalized Primary EPS and cash/Opex trajectory (still within ~$300–$320M) .
- Watch mix and GTN: Hospital channel growth is positive for share but can pressure gross‑to‑net; monitoring mix is key for modeling margins .
- Pipeline can extend the growth curve: ENHANCE single‑day IV dosing (randomized cohort enrolled) and subQ pivotal program are the next catalysts; subQ could materially expand TAM over the medium term .
- Capital returns remain a support: Completed $100M buyback and a fresh $100M authorization underscore confidence; disciplined BD screen suggests limited near‑term dilution risk .
- Near‑term trading lens: Positive revenue beat and guidance raise vs a normalized EPS miss; stock reaction likely driven by Q4 demand cadence, DTC traction, and any incremental subQ/ENHANCE updates on timing .
- Medium‑term thesis: Multi‑year BRIUMVI lifecycle (simplified IV, subQ) plus optionality in MG and azer‑cel support a durable growth narrative through 2027–2029 .
Appendix: Additional Detail
Selected operating detail (Q3 2025)
- R&D: ~$40.9M (vs $20.1M in Q3’24), driven by subQ development and clinical pipeline .
- SG&A: ~$63.4M (vs $42.0M in Q3’24), reflecting commercialization scaling and DTC .
- Cash & investments: $178.3M as of 9/30/25 .
- Selected balance sheet highlights: Total assets $1,025.0M; shareholders’ equity $607.2M .
Data sources: TG Therapeutics Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and financial tables ; Q3 2025 earnings call transcript ; Q2 2025 press release and call ; Q1 2025 press release and call ; ENHANCE enrollment PR (Oct 28, 2025) ; Share repurchase PR (Sept 3, 2025) . Estimates and target price from S&P Global as indicated with asterisks.