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TG THERAPEUTICS, INC. (TGTX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 delivered strong top-line growth: total revenue rose 93% YoY to $161.7M and 15% QoQ, driven by U.S. BRIUMVI net sales of $152.9M (+10% QoQ) and ex‑U.S. partner sell‑in of $6.4M .
  • Guidance raised again: FY25 BRIUMVI U.S. net revenue to ~$585M (from $570–$575M) and total global revenue to ~$600M (from ~$585M), reflecting sustained demand trends .
  • GAAP EPS surged to $2.43 on a non‑recurring ~$365M income tax benefit from releasing the valuation allowance; normalized Primary EPS of ~$0.16 missed S&P Global consensus of ~$0.22, while revenue beat by ~$9.7M (6%) versus consensus of ~$152.0M* .
  • Capital returns remain active: TG completed its $100M repurchase (~3.5M shares at ~$28.55) and authorized a new $100M program, signaling confidence in BRIUMVI’s multi‑year growth and pipeline catalysts (ENHANCE and subcutaneous Phase 3) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Revenue outperformance and sustained demand: Total revenue $161.7M beat S&P Global consensus ~$152.0M*, with U.S. BRIUMVI net sales up 10% QoQ to $152.9M .
    • Guidance raised again: FY25 BRIUMVI U.S. net revenue to ~$585M and total global revenue to ~$600M, underpinned by stronger‑than‑expected patient persistence and continued new prescriber growth .
    • Pipeline execution: Completed enrollment in the randomized ENHANCE Phase 3 cohort (single day‑1 IV consolidation) and commenced the pivotal program for subcutaneous BRIUMVI; management highlighted subQ could nearly double TAM if self‑administered share reaches ~50% of new starts .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Normalized EPS shortfall vs consensus: S&P Global “Primary EPS” came in at ~0.16 vs ~0.22 consensus*, despite GAAP EPS of $2.43 being inflated by a one‑time tax benefit .
    • Higher operating spend: Opex (R&D + SG&A, ex‑non‑cash) increased to ~$86.6M in Q3 (vs ~$71M in Q2) as the company invested in subQ development and commercial expansion/DTC, though full‑year opex guidance of ~$300–$320M was reiterated .
    • Gross‑to‑net dynamics to monitor: Mix shift toward hospitals (340B exposure) is a headwind to gross‑to‑net (prior commentary cited ~70–75% for the year with hospital mix keeping Q2 around the low end), implying ongoing vigilance on pricing/mix quality .

Financial Results

Revenue and EPS (chronological: oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Revenue ($M)83.879 120.856 141.148 161.709
Product Revenue, net ($M)83.297 119.655 138.843 159.317
License/Milestone/Other ($M)0.582 1.201 2.305 2.392
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)0.02 0.03 0.17 2.43

Revenue composition and KPIs

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
BRIUMVI U.S. net revenue ($M)119.7 138.8 152.9
Ex‑U.S. BRIUMVI sell‑in to partner ($M)6.4
Opex (R&D + SG&A, ex non‑cash) ($M)~82 ~71 ~86.6
Cash, cash equivalents & investments ($M)276.2 (3/31) 278.9 (6/30) 178.3 (9/30)
Share repurchasesProgram ongoing$100M completed; new $100M authorized

Margins and profitability

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cost of Revenue ($M)9.341 15.541 18.938 28.093
Operating Income ($M)12.434 8.622 34.843 29.365
Net Income ($M)3.880 5.060 28.187 390.895
Operating Margin % (calc)14.8% 7.1% 24.7% 18.2%
Net Margin % (calc)4.6% 4.2% 20.0% 241.6% (one‑time tax benefit)

Versus S&P Global consensus (estimates and Primary EPS are S&P Global constructs)

MetricQ2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025 (guidepost)
Revenue Consensus Mean ($M)146.274*152.023*182.381*
Revenue Actual/Guide ($M)141.148 161.709
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)0.281*0.220*0.254*
Primary EPS Actual ($)0.17 0.1609*
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)0.17 2.43

Values with asterisks (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
BRIUMVI U.S. net revenueFY 2025$570–$575M ~ $585M Raised
Total global revenueFY 2025~ $585M ~ $600M Raised
Operating expenses (ex non‑cash)FY 2025~ $300M ~ $300–$320M (on track) Updated/Range specified

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Subcutaneous BRIUMVIPivotal program planned; subQ could unlock 35–40% of dynamic market; target 2027 filing/2028 launch Pivotal program launched; enrollment “going quite well”; subQ could nearly double TAM if self‑admin share grows Positive momentum, TAM expanding
Simplified IV dosing (ENHANCE)Initiated randomized Phase 3 to consolidate day‑1/day‑15; aim for 2026 data/2027 label Randomized cohort enrollment completed; potential 2027 launch if successful Executing to plan
DTC/awarenessTV campaign launched; early uplift in branded search/traffic and HCP patient requests First full quarter of national TV; elevated web/search KPIs; plan to optimize spend into Q4 Building brand equity
Market mix (IV vs subQ)IV ~60–65% vs subQ ~35–40% of new starts; BRIUMVI ~1/3 of IV new starts SubQ now ~35–40% and growing; potential to reach ~50% over time Watch share mix shift
GTN/pricing/mixGTN guided 70–75%; hospital mix pulls GTN to ~70% in Q2 Hospital channel outpacing private practice; continued 340B exposure noted Mix headwind persists
Capital allocationShare buyback ongoing $100M completed; new $100M authorized; high ROI threshold for BD Shareholder‑friendly, disciplined
Ex‑U.S. expansionApprovals broadened (EU/UK/CH/AU) Added approvals (EU/UK/CH/AU/Kuwait/UAE); $6.4M partner sell‑in Incremental tailwind

Management Commentary

  • “We are pleased to see that the third quarter marked another strong period of performance... driving continued BRIUMVI growth... We also successfully completed our initial $100 million share repurchase program and authorized an additional $100 million program...” — Michael S. Weiss, CEO .
  • “Based on the strong year‑to‑date performance... we are again raising our full year 2025 US BRIUMVI net revenue guidance... to approximately $585 million...” — Adam Waldman, CCO .
  • “Our third‑quarter results include a non‑recurring income tax benefit of approximately $365 million, driven by the release of our deferred tax asset valuation allowance.” — Sean Power, CFO .
  • On subQ BRIUMVI: “We view subcutaneous BRIUMVI as a major opportunity that could nearly double the total addressable market...” — Michael S. Weiss .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q4 cadence: Management implied ~14% QoQ growth for Q4, driven by patient retention, field expansion, and DTC, acknowledging typical seasonality .
  • Field expansion focus: Emphasis on hospital accounts where demand growth outpaced private practice; new reps broadening reach .
  • Subcutaneous competitive dynamics: Current at‑home subQ competitor is growing; market roughly 60–65% IV vs 35–40% subQ with potential continued subQ share gains .
  • Inventory/GTN: No notable inventory or gross‑to‑net changes in Q3; GTN within guided range (context: hospital mix can pressure GTN) .
  • Ex‑U.S. accounting: Partner sell‑in recognized in product revenue; royalties flow through license/milestone/other .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025: Revenue beat (actual $161.7M vs $152.0M consensus*) by ~$9.7M, but Primary EPS missed (~0.16 actual vs ~0.22 consensus*). GAAP EPS ($2.43) is not comparable due to a one‑time ~$365M tax benefit .
  • Q2 2025: Revenue missed ($141.1M actual vs $146.3M consensus*), Primary EPS missed (~0.17 vs ~0.28*), reflecting investment cadence and mix .
  • Q4 2025: Consensus sits at ~$182.4M revenue and ~$0.25 Primary EPS*, with raised FY25 revenue guidance supportive of upward revenue revisions if Q4 executes .
  • Target price consensus mean: ~$44.29 (7 estimates)*, indicating supportive Street stance into 2026.

Values with asterisks (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue momentum is intact and broad‑based; sustained patient persistence plus prescriber additions and DTC support FY25 revenue raise — a constructive setup into Q4 seasonality .
  • Expect normalization of EPS optics: GAAP EPS inflated by non‑recurring tax; investors should anchor on normalized Primary EPS and cash/Opex trajectory (still within ~$300–$320M) .
  • Watch mix and GTN: Hospital channel growth is positive for share but can pressure gross‑to‑net; monitoring mix is key for modeling margins .
  • Pipeline can extend the growth curve: ENHANCE single‑day IV dosing (randomized cohort enrolled) and subQ pivotal program are the next catalysts; subQ could materially expand TAM over the medium term .
  • Capital returns remain a support: Completed $100M buyback and a fresh $100M authorization underscore confidence; disciplined BD screen suggests limited near‑term dilution risk .
  • Near‑term trading lens: Positive revenue beat and guidance raise vs a normalized EPS miss; stock reaction likely driven by Q4 demand cadence, DTC traction, and any incremental subQ/ENHANCE updates on timing .
  • Medium‑term thesis: Multi‑year BRIUMVI lifecycle (simplified IV, subQ) plus optionality in MG and azer‑cel support a durable growth narrative through 2027–2029 .

Appendix: Additional Detail

Selected operating detail (Q3 2025)

  • R&D: ~$40.9M (vs $20.1M in Q3’24), driven by subQ development and clinical pipeline .
  • SG&A: ~$63.4M (vs $42.0M in Q3’24), reflecting commercialization scaling and DTC .
  • Cash & investments: $178.3M as of 9/30/25 .
  • Selected balance sheet highlights: Total assets $1,025.0M; shareholders’ equity $607.2M .

Data sources: TG Therapeutics Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and financial tables ; Q3 2025 earnings call transcript ; Q2 2025 press release and call ; Q1 2025 press release and call ; ENHANCE enrollment PR (Oct 28, 2025) ; Share repurchase PR (Sept 3, 2025) . Estimates and target price from S&P Global as indicated with asterisks.